The next 3 doubling cycles...

...should tell us. I mean we may blow past our capability to test but if we hit the 100k mark by April 1, I think we be looking at a couple of million cases by the first week in May which will mean HCS collapse and mortality from Covid-19 will leap from 1% to ~20%. All other mortalities (heart attack, etc.) will climb at the same time.

The tell will be mortality. When Covid-19 deaths leap, your system has saturated no matter what your reported incidence is.


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